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election season on record due in part to the supreme court citizens united decision. in this discussion panelists examine the effect that corporate spending has had on the campaign season. this is an hour and a half. >> good morning. good morning and welcome to the new america foundation. my name is mark schmitt. i'm a senior fellow at the roosevelt institute and a research fellow here at new america foundation. the vice president of new america and i have pulled together a good panel on what's really going on with money and politics in 2012. we call it beyond sticker shock because the idea is to kind of get beyond the basic idea of that huge amount of money here in politics. i remember when i first got involved in this issue in 1996 i was working on the hill, and my boss wanted to do a big speech. how outrageous it was, up to $1 billion would be spent on the election in 1996. of course, that begins to seem like the line from doctor evils demand for $1 million to not take over the world. so what i'm going to do here is a couple brief presentations and open it up to a panel discussion. t
in terms of innovation and politics for two ones. obviously it's a close election. and so campaigns that might have once said, wow, 1%, 2% more of the vote if i you the technique. one or two% and i can use that. there it starting to be a real focus on techniques that can provide very small but measurable boosts. that's one thing that happened after twowp. we realize we are moving to israeli deadlocked. it was the chief pollster and strategies. started writing a memo while the supreme court was still taking up the case, and, you know, the polling data from, you know, from 1984 something like 25% of american were party switchers moved between the two parties. by tbown it was 7%. we are in that era now. a small pert age is the persuadable. most voters are predickble. you know, they like to sell pollsters are undecided in the campaign. there are far fewer voters who are actively moving between the two parties as there were previously. and when you get in to that environment, it's a lot easier for campaigns to visualize where they can get benefits by focusing on turnout or registration f
initially reacted. how did the court system react to this? caller code he was elected as a republican, for what that is worth. he felt he had to defer to the power and authority of the legislature to run pennsylvania elections. the supreme court, when they got that ruling, they sent it right back. they said that voting was a fundamental right and the judge would not be obligated to block the law unless -- sorry, missing a word here -- not disenfranchisement of voters. that was the strict order from the supreme court and he had no choice but to block all law. host: what has been the reaction in pennsylvania? who is going to benefit from this? caller: democrats have been very concerned that this would reduce turnout, especially among the elderly. they held up as a big victory. the republicans are basically trying to make sure that the law takes effect next year, not this year. they are looking to the future. host: as we look forward, do you expect this ruling to go to the supreme court before the election? could there be a change? or is this really what is going to happen? host: -- call
will be out on election day. >> we will hear about it when the election is over. >> guest: thank you for having me. >> let me start tonight to ask you come at you focus on nine women per know-how do so let them? >> -- how did you select them? we could have done more but with the confine of the book you could only do so much. democrats, republicans, diff erent ages. we knew on the basis of nine you could not make generalizations that were 100% certain. conclusions were hypotheses that other people run with. in order to make that hypothesis we needed a diverse group. >> we also included women that was the white house project so several with men that the white house project identified olympia snowe, kathleen sebelius sebelius, they want to consider the notion with her foundation that talk about women governors. that have been through the training through the pipeline. >> we also made the observation when a male is elected to the senator ship he is a hopeful scott brown was not even sworn been and scott brown 2012.com was already purchase. but so many women had been in washington as l
for tuning in. tonight's lead, can we predict who will win the election? and to help answer the question, i want to introduce fake governor romney and fake president obama. welcome to "politicsnation" and great to see you. folks, 39 days till the election and there's one way to predict who will win that really does seem to work. it turns out, the sale of presidential halloween masks are actually a great way to know who's going to win. in fact, in the past four elections, halloween masks have determined by their sales they accurately predicted the winner. and guess who is selling more this year? that's right. president obama masks are out selling mitt romney's masks by nearly 40%. congratulations, mr. president. when you think about it, mitt romney's been hiding behind a mask this entire election. a mask he only takes off in quiet rooms, behind closed doors, when he's talking to wealthy donors. but voters don't seem to like it much. and a new fox news poll, yes, fox news poll, shows romney trailing nationally by five points. and get this, he has a lower favorable rating than george w. bush.
't work now. gwen: countdown to election day. and on the airwaves, the big debate looms, 40 days to go as the candidates drill down on the economy. >> you think if we spend another $5 trillion on tax cuts for the wealthiest americans, all our problems are going to go away? >> his plan is the spluss, how did the first one go. how much of it did you get? it was cash for clunkers. did you get help from that? gwen: and duke it on foreign policy. >> i'm pretty certain there will be bumps in the road because in a lot of these places, the one organizing brell has been islam. >> he said the developments in the middle east are bumps in the road. [laughter] >> yeah, that was my reaction. bumps in the road? these are not bumps in the road. these are human lives. gwen: the candidates, the polls, the issues, the voters, we are in the heartland tonight. covering the week, charles babington of the associated press, nia-malika henderson of the "washington post." jim tankersley of "national journal" and jeff delaney of the "new york times." >> this is a special election 2012 edition of "washington week
to know who's going to win. in fact, in the past four elections, halloween masks have determined by their sales they accurately predicted the winner. and guess who is selling more this year? that's right. president obama masks are out selling mitt romney's masks by nearly 40%. congratulations, mr. president. when you think about it, mitt romney's been hiding behind a mask this entire election. a mask he only takes off in quiet rooms, behind closed doors, when he's talking to wealthy donors. but voters don't seem to like it much. and a new fox news poll, yes, fox news poll, shows romney trailing nationally by five points. and get this, he has a lower favorable rating than george w. bush. don't adjust your tv set. mr. romney is less liked than bush. huh? maybe that's something to do with the fact that he can't seem to answer basic questions. >> how was that? >> i have nothing. >> guys, here we go. >> guys -- it's just -- all we've got here is beef jerky? who here wants a piece of beef jerky? that's all i've got. this was given to us by jack link. >> what do you have planned for the
right now. >>> good evening, thank you. ooers the newest data on the state of the election in two of the swingiest of the swing states. ohio and florida, new data out today. "the washington post" putting out new numbers showing president obama ahead by eight points in iowa and four points in florida. while the swing state map is what everybody is watching the swing states are the most important to keep an eye on because that's where you wrap up the votes that allow you to win the election, there's new national polling now for what it's worth. there's new polling every day. the republican leaning poll is out with their new national numbers today. their national tracking poll putting president obama up by one point nationally. the gallup tracking poll putting president obama up by three points today nationally. that's in big picture perspective of what's going on in the presidential race. for an even bigger picture perspective on those national numbers, i should point out to you that of the last 20 national presidential polls, of the 20 national polls taken in the month of september
quarterly gains for the s&p 500 and nasdaq which means in an election year, good for the incumbent almost every election year. 39 days out, does that mean that the president is in? our market watcher says no, not when you factor the recent state of bad economic numbers. or the scores of major u.s. companies throwing workers out. larry, which is the more dominant theme? >>guest: just to illustrate that point, look no further than a country like greece on the verge of a depression, 25 percent unemployment, civil unrest, yet their stock market is up almost as much as our stock market. it shows you how disconnected main street has become from wall street in this committee. the reason for that is because of unprecedented central bank easing. that is what we are seeing. that is playing out in storms around -- stock markets around the world. they say don't fight the fed based on the hope that the federal reserve can solve all main street and wall street problems. the reality is, it is different for main treaty. the economic data is coming in very weak at an alarming pace. chicago purchasing mana
on in the elections these days are taking place. >> host: interesting. what do you want the reader of this book to most understand when they read this book what is that not get that you want them to come away with? >> guest: i want them to understand that what we see on tv and in the newspaper every day as sort of the campaigns is the riddle of everything that is going on. the campaigns are far more than what is set in the ads were some of the candidate goes for the candidates running mate or spouse goes and what the spokesperson says on tv i think too much of the coverage assumes this is the entirety of the campaign activity. most campaigns in all levels most of the people are seeing the campaign and doing other things coming and the -- that sort of surfacing that we see, the candidate giving a speech, buying ads and something going on tv to by the ads in many ways has that changed on decades. the focus is invisible to us. i try to write in this book is taking place with people who don't go on tv and whose names are almost entirely unknown. the outside world has changed dramatically and is cha
in next month's presidential election. a pennsylvania judge today blocked a tough and controversial new law that would require voters to show valid photo identification. the republican-led state legislature passed the law in march. supporters claim it would prevent fraud and insure that only those who are legally eligible to vote would be able to cast a ballot. opponents argued the law unfairly targeted minorities and the elderly and intended to keep them home on election day. according to the average of all pennsylvania polls, president obama has a sizable lead. democrats have fought the law furiously because in the past lower town out has benefited republicans in pennsylvania. the state acknowledged in court that there has never been a case of in person voter fraud in pennsylvania. now like for us in new york city with more on that. what will happen come election day? >>reporter: trace, believe it or not on election day poll workers will ask for your photo i.d. in pennsylvania but voters do not have to show up. the judge simpson led the law stay in place ruling it is constitutional bu
in libya is this election season's surprise. similar to the iranian hostage crisis back in 1979 and 1980, and the george bush drunk driving story in 2000. if this is a political october surprise, how does that affect the vote on november 6. we will ask george w. bush's chief of staff, andy card about how the narrative would be different if president bush was in office today. we have been hearing a lot about that some other news outlets today. why there was a potential cover-up on a terror attack on u.s. soil, where is the media on this? governor mitt romney spoke to a foreign-policy topic forum at valley college in california. it shows president obama leading in pennsylvania by more than a point. but that did not stop the governor from blasting the president for calling deadly turmoil around the muslim world, a bump in the road. >> i don't consider 20 or 30,000 people dying just a bump in the road. or a muslim brotherhood president in egypt a bump in the road. i don't consider the killing of our diplomats in libya as a bump in the road, and i sure as heck don't consider iran becoming nuc
the candidates who hired him, the republican candidates. in 2004 nevada state election officials looked into allegations that sproul . . . democrats who had registered through sproul's group, later told the reno gazette journal their names were not on the rolls when they went to vote. that same year democratseptors leahy, and kennedy sent a letter asking for an immediate investigation against sproul. and nothing happened. and now nathan sproul is back. according to the l.a. times, the republican national committee paid sproul's company, $3 million to recommendster vote fors in colorado nevada north carolina, and virginia this year. and the romney campaign paid sproul an additional $70,000 for five month's of work but he is being investigated again. florida election officials aledge that sproul's company submitted over 100 fraudulent registrations this year. they dismissed the incident of this fraud as the case of quote, one bad apple in an organization. this from the party that has otherwise by screaming about voter fraud all year. when it comes to voter fraud me t
-up column. there are 36 days until the election. this election actually despite everything you are hearing it is still up in the air. so don't count your chickens folk. back with us from washington, d.c. is peter fenn, and joining me here inside "the war room," duf sundheim. duf, let me start with you, because of all of the polls that have been out lately there has been some movement of republican money. there have been in fact fox business news is reporting that some of mitt romney's new york donors are taking their money to the house and senate. and that trend reflects an increasing level of anxiety both with the nature of the romney campaign, and polls show president obama has a lead in swing states that some republicans think is insurmountable. do you think it's too soon? >> yes. you are going to see some anxiety, you are at a football game, and people start leaving for the exits way too early. >> jennifer: i think we're going to have to follow the money. though. peter after all of the millions that have already been donated how important it is for campaigns to ge
these in an election season that you would think would be crushing obama's reelection chances. and yet they are not. why, you ask? (laughter) it's the subject of tonight's news segment "barack obama's the luckiest dude on the planet." (laughter) in an ordinary election involving a stagnant economy, global unrest, and the typical incumbent president would be at an enormous disadvantage. unless-- >> does the government have a responsibility to provide health care to the 50 million americans who don't have it today? >> well, we do provide care for people who don't have insurance. we pick them up in an ambulance and take them to the hospital and give them care and different states have different ways of providing for that care. (laughter) >> jon: unless-- normally he would be in trouble unless that incumbent president is running against the guy who just appeared to suggest that we don't need to do a health care plan for uninsured americans because we have emergency rooms! (laughter) and, like, they're open all night. (laughter) they're, like, 7-elevens but-- (cheers and applause) now that-- what he jus
are not always the best way to understand the state of the election. and for that, you've got to go to the swing states. and sorry, mitt, but the pictures there are not much better. a "new york times" cbs quinnipiac poll shows that big margins exist among likely swing state voters. in pennsylvania, the president is up big. 54% to romney's 42%. he leads romney 53% to 44% in florida and in ohio, he leads by a full 10 points! 53% to 43%. the last one is really important because if history is any guide the road to the white house really does run through ohio. no republican has ever won the white house without winning the state of ohio. no democrat has done it for over a half a century. so both candidates are in the state today and not believe me, for the first time. in fact, they have made these two candidates a combined 68 visits there this but today, romney was trying out a brand new strategy. which was expressing emotion. he replaced his usual stories about small business owners succeeding all on their own with stori
in suburban las vegas. >> you may have heard that in a few days my opponent in this election and i are going to have a debate. i know folks in the media are speculating already on who's going to have the best zingers. >> you are. >> i don't know about that. >> both campaigns from the candidates on down have been frantically spinning to lower expectations for wednesday night. >> governor romney, he's a good debater. i'm just okay. >> president obama is a very experienced speaker, experienced debater. he's dub this before. this is mitt's first time on this kind of a stage. >> we've suspected all along that mitt romney will have a good night. he's prepared more than any candidate and he's shown himself to be a very good debate over the years. >> but on "meet the press" it was apparently governor chris christie who went off script who said he's going to have to beat the result if mitt romney is going to come out on top in november. >> on wednesday night, mitt romney is going to be standing on the same stage as the president of the united states and i'm telling you, david, come thursday morning,
and longer and longer, this last homestretch between the start of the debate until election day, this is always about the same amount of time. at least in recent elections. and so offn this date in 2004, which was the last time we had an iumbent predentunning this date in that campaign, the campaign you might remember was all about iraq. >> at odds with the openful picture described by the president. mr. bush was challenged during an intview with fox news abo last spring's mission accolishppnc t "ubr lln >> would you do it again? >> you mean have the sign up there? >> no, no, go in there if the flight jacket? >> absolutely. >> you would? >> i'm saying to the troops on this carrier and elsewhere, thanks for serving america. absolutely. >>or sorry today noticed since that speech, more than 900 soldiers have died in iraq. >> so that was this date in the campaign in 2004. this date in the campaign in 2008, even though we were right in theiddle of the meltdown of the financial sector, still at the center of the campaign in eejohnccain and barack obama, which was this date four years
to decorate the office before they have it. we might see another turnaround election in the year 2014 like we did in 2010 if they continue to push this big spending big government. neil: you're not giving up on spending. it almost sounded like you were. >> well, i am just simply saying if they are going to go with decorating the office. neil: thank you very, very much. don't look now, but he is back. remember caught 20 years later. back with a vengeance, and a new warning. deep in debt. ross perot fears we are easy date to be taken down. a former clinton press secretary, debate commission on those warnings from a guy who two decades ago almost up into the presidential race. very good to have you. >> good to be with you. neil: i remember. he and his charts. i remember bill clinton responding to that, addressing that. many will argue, it was your boss to did address some of the same debt issues that perot claim to fame for. but he is back saying both parties have let him down. i think he goes on to say that he does not like other guy and that both parties have essentially risk throwing the coun
cannot go in effect for the general election. there is a chance the state could appeal this to the state's supreme court, but based on what the supreme court said last time they looked at this, it's doubtful they would succeed there. what the judge says here is yes, it's true. the state has said we can fix some of the problems that have come up before, but he says, i question whether there is enough time now to fix these problems. i think there are going to be more problems down the road putting this into effect like we've already seen, he says. he believes that the gap between the photo i.d.'s issued and the estimated need cannot be closed before the election. in other words, he says all the people who would have to get new photo i.d.s, he doubts there is enough time for them to get them. he says i'm not convinced in my predictive judgment there won't be any voter disenfranchisement arising out of this new law. pennsylvania in march passed this new law requiring voter i.d.s. people started going to get them and the state said, wait a minute. we can't just give you a voter i.d. because o
and not president elect kerry. the national polls are close her today than eight years ago but the numbers in key battlegrounds today tell an obama victory story. democratic strategist steve el mendorf, kerry's deputy campaign manager in '04. how are you? >> good, how are you. >> tell me about why your guy won the debates and lost the election and what that says potentially about this dynamic and this race right now is this. >> i think any challenger has a benefit when they get up on the stage against the president of the united states. the debates level the playing field. they put you on the stage in an equal footing. i think mitt romney comes into the debate with an advantage because of that. i think the question in this race, all campaigns are different and i think in this race, this is very much of a choice election. i think people see very different visions for the future between these two candidates and my guess is, when we get out of the debates they are going to continue to see the two visions and right now they're picking barack obama's vision. i think in 2004, it was more of a referendu
seriously and that they want to participate in this election. we've been energizing people across the nation to oppose these efforts to suppress the vote but also to encourage people not to be deterred, frustrated intimidated or this and to get out and vote. >> jennifer: in fact you wrote about bullies at the ballot box. so tell us exactly what you meant by that. who is bullying? >> this quote that true to vote wants people to vote as though the police are in their rear-view mirror. >> jennifer: describe that for a second. people who have been watching the show know that. >> true the vote is an effort that is underway to "protect voter integrity" at least that's the stated purpose. but the real purpose we think is to harass and intimidate voters all across the nation. their statement has been we want people to vote as though the police are in their rear-view mirror. in other words it's really a threat to people exercising their democratic right. we've out there, the national urban league is a nonpartisan way, i
that sales of halloween masks is a good forecast of who is going to win the election? and do you remember sarah silverman's great schlep video, the makers of that video are out with this video. >> grandma, grandpa, can we talk? >> (vo)answer: pour disaronno into a flute glass and top with prosecco. brought to you by disaronno. be originale. ♪ >> jennifer: on the campaign front, i don't know about you, but i am totally loving the news today. no matter how hard the right-wing tries to hide it polls across the board are showing how unpopular mitt romney is. there is this new survey from bloomberg news which fines the most unpopular living u.s. president, that would be president george w. bush has a higher rating than gop candidate mitt romney. 46 to 43%. president bush is also more popular than the entire current republican party. are you shocked? actually i'm not. if the romney campaign were smart, they should realize they should stop drinking from the gop spiked kool-aid and start fighting for u.s. citizens. back with us is democratic strategist and syndicated colu
this in the election cycle. over and over and over again, the right has tried to make huge news not out of something president obama has done as president but out after a big unveiling, a big, giant, coordinated round of attention for something from president obama's supposedly secret past. this spring it was the glen beck website dousing themselves in gasoline and pulling the fire alarm over video of president obama speaking as a law student at harvard. video at a press conference where obama says nothing news worthy. that was explosive tape, not at all. last month it was the drudge report, which means the romney c campaign, it was them again dousing themselves in gasoline and pulling the fire alarm as what was hyped as outrageous video of president obama saying he believes in redistribution. specifically it was that he believes essentially in the progressive tax code that we have had in this country for a time period that's more easily measured in centuries than in individual years. again, not exactly a bomb shell. now they are dousing themselves in gasoline and hitting the fire alarm all over aga
is for the se kindf pe they ha tried to make bomb shell three times we have gone throu this in the election cycle. over a over and over again, the right has trietohuge me news not out of something presidt obama has done as president out after a big coordinated round of atttion for something from president weama's su itdoing themsees in gasoline and pullinghe fe udent at h where obama that was explosive tape, not at all. lastonth it was the drudge report, which means the romney campaign, it was them again d l video of president obama saying he beliein redistribion. spifally it wathat he believ essentially ie progreive tax codehat we have hadn this count for a time piod that's more ealy measured in centuries than in individual yrs. agai not exact a bomb shell. now a in gasine and hitting the fire video of president obama speaking as a candidate in7. in ts deo, which the right is very excited aboutoght but which has envailable 2007, then candidate, acknowledges the presence in e room of his former pastor from ccago, vend jeremiah wrig. steve smith was pa of the straty decided that they woul
. the election has begun in the first swing state with early voting. and the obama campaign isn't letting up. >> my job is not to worry about those -- >> tonight, dnc chairwoman debbie wasserman-schultz on the democratic effort to get out the vote in iowa and beyond. >>> "mother jones" unearthed yet another lost romney tape from his bain years. >> bain capital is an investment partnership. >> i'll ask robert reich what mitt romney means when he says he's harvesting companies. >>> if it's a legitimate rape, the female body has ways to try to shut that whole thing down. >> and the guy who has no idea what he's talking about when it comes to women has the nerve to call senator claire mccaskill unladylike. we'll bring you the latest on the todd akin disaster. good to have you with us tonight, folks. thank for watching. iowa kicked off the 2012 election in january. today it was the first state where people could cast their votes in person for the general election. the race is on. the race has been tight in iowa, but president obama has the momentum. the latest ten-day poll average from "real clea
a shadow of a doubt i welcome. this is, we are told, the most important election in our lifetime and it may be that more people believe that this year than believe in 2008-2004-2004 another election where that is regularly said. for this to be true, among other things elections must have genuine consequences for the making of public policy particularly with regard to domestic policy. we could have separate conversation about the issue of presidential power with regard to foreign policy, military policy but let me say my primary interest in the book and my remarks this evening is more domestic policy and the extent to which elections do or do not bring us close to resolving important issues of domestic public policy. for the older members of this audience there have been at least one election that did fundamentally change america and that is 1954. a mere 48 years ago, when all of the stars were aligned and not only to create a landslide victory for president lyndon johnson, richard nixon got a landslide victory in 1972, but a landslide democratic majority in the house and senate and let us n
is registered to vote. this is the list of by two great teams. two weeks before the election, i know that may seem like a very short time. in politics it is a lifetime. we were interesting digging into what is happening in this space. what trends are occurring? how do people feel about the economy? you are the people who show up to the polls in november? we want to have a discussion about the implications for 2012. this is a follow up to a passage to 70 that was released in november of last year. they wanted to see what had changed and what it would mean for the presidential election. i am pleased to introduce ruy teixeira. after this presentation, he will lead a conversation with our distinguished panel and we look forward to hearing from all of you as well. i encourage you to follow the conversation at twitter. he is a guest scholar at the brookings institute where he has directed politics on democracy. his recent writings include democratic change in the futures of the parties, and the rise of the middle-class. he holds a degree from the university of wisconsin madison. if you are from gre
to redefine himself as well as redefining the election. >> reporter: an election only 35 days away but still far from over. and the first debate is on the domestic issues that are defining this election. lynn? >> all right, brian, thanks. >>> elsewhere, the candidates for the u.s. senate in massachusetts, scott brown and elizabeth warren, debated for the second time last night. the two were combative as they staked out opposite positions on issues ranging from job creation to bringing home troops from afghanistan. nbc's david gregory of "meet the press" was the moderator, and they also clashed over brown's claim of partisan independence. >> if he is re-elected, that increases the odds that the republicans will control the senate and that he can block president obama's agenda. >> if you're going to comment on my record, i would at least have you refer to it -- >> can we -- >> excuse me, excuse me. >> go ahead, senator. >> excuse me, i'm not a student in your classroom. please let me respond. thank you. >> recent polls before the debate showed elizabeth warren with a small lead over scott brow
the election. tara mergener reports that both campaigns are downplaying expectations. >> reporter: workers are setting the stage for wednesday night's presidential debate at the university of denver. both candidates are behind closed doors today getting ready. mitt romney is preparing in colorado and the latest polls show he is trailing the president in most swing states. >> we can do this. >> reporter: his running mate paul ryan is on a bus tour working to sway voters in iowa. >> our goal is to earn your support. we want to deserve this victory. >> reporter: vice president joe biden is in the battle ground state of north carolina today while president obama studies for the debate in nevada. he is holding practice sessions with former presidential candidate john kerry playing the part of mitt romney. on monday the president called campaign volunteers and told one of them what debate preparation is like. >> they're keeping me indoors all the time. it's a drag. they're making me do my homework. >> reporter: the stakes are high for wednesday's debate but both the white house and the romney ca
for watching. iowa kicked off the 2012 election in january. today it was the first state where people could cast their votes in person for the general election. the race is on. the race has been tight in iowa, but president obama has the momentum. the latest ten-day poll average from "real clear politics" shows president obama with nearly a five-point lead. iowa voters were out in full force starting at 7:00 this morning. one election commissioner said this could be a record-breaking year. >> this was by far the busiest opening day we've had in the ten years i've been in the office. we were thinking 100 people. 100 would have been a good number. that's what it was four years ago. we're well past that. we're not to noon yet. >> look at the early voting numbers from 2008 to see how big a record breaker it could be this year. 2008, 33% of all ballots were cast before election day. early voting favored barack obama over john mccain by 18 points. 58% to 40%. this year, 27 states and washington, d.c., will have early in-person voting prior to election day. the campaigns are estimating an early vo
Search Results 0 to 49 of about 1,558 (some duplicates have been removed)